[摘要]：Background. Cytomegalovirus (CMV) disease in transplant patients is known to have a substantial clinical and economic burden, and its prevention is expected to have long-term benefits. Evidence from the Improved Protection Against CMV in Transplant trial proved that prolonged prophylaxis of 200 days with valganciclovir compared with 100 days significantly reduces the incidence of CMV in high-risk kidney transplant seropositive donors/seronegative recipients. The aim of this study was to develop a cost-effectiveness model to evaluate prolonged prophylaxis of 200 days with valganciclovir and its long-term economic impact. Methods. An economic model was designed to simulate long-term costs and outcomes of prolonged prophylaxis with valganciclovir (200 vs. 100 days) in a cohort of 10,000 high-risk renal transplant patients over 5 and 10 years. The first year of the model was based on the results of the Improved Protection Against CMV in Transplant trial and the extension to the long-term periods (5 and 10 years); and quality of life data were based on evidence retrieved through a systematic literature search. This analysis was conducted from the US healthcare payer perspective. Results. For the 5-year time horizon, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of US $14,859/quality-adjusted life year (QALY) suggests that 200-day valganciclovir prophylaxis is cost effective over the 100-day regimen considering a threshold of US $50,000/QALY. The 10-year analysis revealed the 200-day prophylaxis as cost saving with a 2380 QALY gain and simultaneously lower cost. Conclusion. Prolonged prophylaxis with valganciclovir reduces the incidence of events associated with CMV infection in high-risk kidney transplant recipients and is a cost-effective strategy in CMV disease management.
